Based on a COUNT US! e-mail report
and Indianapolis Star report:
"Costs of roads growing, but funding stalls
Construction, repair demands eclipsing available revenue"
both published October 2, 2004



INDOT Budget

Regarding:
 
INDOT's 25 Year Fiscal Forecast
Estimated Expansion/ Preservation Split



Today, we send "thank you" to Theodore Kim, Indianapolis Star reporter, for his focus on a very important detail of the INDOT Long Range Plan, include below.

COUNT US! has long wished for Hoosiers to look at INDOT's long range plan as seen in the chart described in today's Indianapolis Star
This INDOT Long Range Forecast chart has been one of six links that we have listed under INDOT on the COUNT US! links page for two years. 

Our interpretation is a little different than that of the Indianapolis Star article. 

    We see INDOT's overly optimistic budget written in 2000, the last year of the largest and longest lasting boom economy in our nation's history.  
INDOT predicted increasing funds available for "growth" of their budget based on an ever improving national and state economy.  It doubles by 2010 and triples by 2025, in 2000 Dollars. 

    We see a chart that calls for increased spending on new construction each year until 2013 and then continued high levels of new construction through 2025.
The same chart calls for decreased maintenance spending per mile year-after-year, failing to keep up with new miles of infrastructure. 
Even if the increased funding had come, this plan was one that will lead to ever reduced funds per mile of Indiana roadway for fixing the roads we have.

It was a "build" rather than "maintain" forecast.

COUNT US! is very happy that focus on this section of INDOT's long range plan is getting the attention that it deserves!

To see this chart Page 134 of the states long range plan:
http://www.state.in.us/dot/div/planning/lrp/Chapter_08.pdf



Please note that all amounts are forecast in 2000 dollars,
 so they are inflation adjusted. Actual dollar amounts would
be much greater.


http://www.indystar.com/articles/1/183401-4771-092.html

INDIANAPOLIS STAR - October 2, 2004

Costs of roads growing, but funding stalls
Construction, repair demands eclipsing available revenue.

By Theodore Kim
theodore.kim@indystar.com

Tucked away on Page 134 of the state's official long-range transportation report is a sobering chart.

In nondescript black and white bars, the chart lays out a looming shortfall as the cost to build and repair roads is expected to almost double in the next decade to roughly $1.4 billion. The available money is predicted to remain steady at about $500 million a year.

Fed by rising costs and aging roads and highways, maintenance and expansion needs in Indiana -- including the upgrade of U.S. 31 between Indianapolis and South Bend and a new segment of I-69 are on pace to eclipse available revenue as soon as next year, the state projects.

The predicted gap between costs and revenues threatens the state at a time when Indiana faces swelling congestion and the natural decay of a highway network built under President Dwight Eisenhower in the 1950s.

What's more, the long-term estimates do not include the possible construction of a multibillion-dollar mass transit system in Central Indiana that is now under consideration. The transit project, likely to be paid for with a combination of federal, state and local dollars, has not received federal approval.

"We're just getting further and further and further behind," said Bill Haan, executive director of the Indiana Association of County Commissioners, which is based in Lafayette.

The state's money woes extend far beyond road construction. State lawmakers continue to grapple with an $800 million-plus budget slump that has strained nearly all of state government. But shortfalls in future highway funding are particularly acute.

Road construction funding has materialized as a key issue in this year's gubernatorial campaign, with Democratic Gov. Joe Kernan and Republican challenger Mitch Daniels quarreling over how best to glean more construction capital.

"If you don't pay for reconstruction and maintenance now, you have to go back and reconstruct years later at 10 times the cost," said state Rep. Scott Reske, D-Pendleton, chairman of the House Roads and Transportation Committee.

Policymakers point to a collection of reasons for the road budget quandary. They include an uncertain national economy, an imbalance in the sharing of federal gas tax revenue and an ongoing partisan clash on Capitol Hill that has frozen more than $250 billion in federal highway aid for the states.

Dwindling pool of money

But experts who closely monitor road spending say Indiana is one of many states struggling to overcome proportional declines in state road spending and flat gas tax revenues.

Since the late 1950s, the share of money states earmarked to maintain and expand roads has dwindled, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

In 1960, highway funding represented 19.2 percent of all state spending nationally, according to Census figures. In 2000, that share had shrunk to 5.5 percent. In contrast, state spending on public welfare, which includes Medicaid, more than doubled over the same period -- from 7 percent to 18.3 percent nationally, the Census showed.

For many states, including Indiana, money budgeted for road construction remains separate from the general fund. Even so, lawmakers here and elsewhere have relied more on federal funds to pay for transportation as costs for education and other programs such as Medicaid have increased.

"Most states have placed transportation third at best in their priority of spending," said William Ahern, a spokesman for the Tax Foundation, a nonpartisan group in Washington that monitors tax rates and policy across the nation. "Who are the opponents for spending on education? On health care? They aren't numerous. But there are vocal and organized opponents to transportation spending: property owners, environmentalists."

While support is broad for improved mass transit, vocal opposition exists to the construction of a new segment of I-69 between Indianapolis and Evansville.

Gas tax drawbacks

Indiana's dependency on the state gas tax is another concern.

For years, revenues from state gas taxes have comprised the largest part of many state road budgets, according to Arturo Perez, a fiscal analyst for the National Conference of State Legislatures in Denver. The thinking is simple: Motorists should pay the largest portion of road upkeep and expansion.

Indiana's 18-cent gas tax ranks 37th highest among all states and the District of Columbia, according to the Federation of Tax Administrators in Washington.

But the age-old funding structure has its drawbacks.

For one, gas taxes in the majority of states are not indexed to inflation. So, even as construction costs climb, gas tax revenues remain relatively flat -- that is, unless legislators raise rates.

State lawmakers also worry that gasoline tax revenues will decrease over time as vehicles increase in fuel efficiency and consumers turn to alternative fuels, such as ethanol or hydrogen. In short, motorists may rack up more road mileage, but consume less gasoline and, thus, pay less in gas taxes.

"It's pretty much to the point where a gas tax based on gallons is quickly becoming antiquated," Reske said.

Indiana's rate was last raised in 2003 from 15 cents. About a third of the increase paid for a $200 million bond issue for road construction, while another portion went to other state functions. But the onetime infusion of cash from the bonds is slated to evaporate next year.

Talk of toll roads

To confront the shortfalls, a growing number of states have begun considering gas tax rates that rise with inflation. Others, such as Ohio, have approved expansive revenue packages that include significant gas tax increases spread out over a number of years.

In Indiana, much of the political chatter has centered on the concept of building toll roads. In the governor's race, Daniels, former budget director under President Bush, has said he would consider new tolls, perhaps on the new I-69 or Ohio River bridge crossings. Kernan staunchly opposes tolls, saying he would consider higher fees at the Bureau of Motor Vehicles and intensify Indiana's efforts to collect a larger share of federal gas tax revenue.

Some policymakers, including Kernan, have suggested crafting a package of revenue measures similar to the "Crossroads 2000" initiative, a $400 million road and highway funding plan crafted by then Gov. Frank O'Bannon in the late 1990s.

Others, most notably state Rep. Jeffrey K. Espich, R-Uniondale, the ranking Republican on the House Ways and Means Committee, have pushed for legislation that would keep the state gas tax rate in line with inflation and fuel use.

Espich's proposal has met stiff resistance in previous state legislative sessions. But he said there is a "good likelihood" that some kind of gas tax increase will move forward next year.

"You have to have more revenues and that, to an honest and great extent, means higher taxes on transportation users," Espich said. "There is no magic bullet."

Call Star reporter Theodore Kim at (317) 444-6247.



COUNT US! has sent this letter to the writer of the story above today.


Theodore,

    We have noticed that all proposed INDOT bills that would have increased funding proposed in recent years, over-and-over include language that states any surpluses do not revert to the General Fund.  This implies that there is an account(s) that shows a positive INDOT balance at the end of each year.  We wonder if you have, or can access, the surplus balance that INDOT is carrying each year since the recession and going into next year.

    Our suspicion is that there is a  large remaining balance each year.  This would not be good for a state agency that continues to forward new tax (funding)  proposals  when other state agencies are returning unspent balances and when our recession economy could use any jobs possible, now.

    One tell tail of  a financially flush INDOT was the easy and quick IPL land purchase that was done seemingly within a months time and with no Legislature discussions.  This was for mitigation of lost forest lands for I-69, not to be built for over a decade.  (Now we are hearing that this land will not work for that purpose.)

    Do you have any information about the year end INDOT surplus account(s) past and current?  Might you be willing to go after this information, if you do not?  Where would you send us, and how would we ask for this information, if we were to do it on our own?

Thank you for your informative article:
"Costs of roads growing, but funding stalls  Construction, repair demands
eclipsing available revenue."

  
John Smith
COUNT US!
http://www.i69tour.org
address/phone

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